Market Update 30 September 2022

5 October

Investment markets & key developments Share markets fell sharply again over the last week in response to continuing hawkish central bank comments and rising recession fears not helped by a mini fiscal crisis in the UK. This capped of sharp...[Read More]

The RBA hikes rates by 0.25%. Here are five reasons why the RBA was right to slowdown and the top is near

5 October

Key points The RBA sensibly dropped back to a 0.25% hike this month taking the cash rate to 2.6%. Its still signalling more hikes ahead though. Slowing the pace of rate hikes makes sense: the RBA needs to allow time to assess the impact...[Read More]

Shares sliding again – what’s driving it and is there any light at the end of the tunnel?

29 September

Key points Share markets remain under pressure from high inflation, rising rates & bond yields and the rising risk of recession and the threat that poses to company profits. With the rising risk of global recession, global and...[Read More]

Econosights: Three reasons why Australia is more vulnerable to higher rates

21 September

Key points Australian consumers are more vulnerable to interest rate rises compared to our global peers because of : 1) higher levels of household debt; 2) a higher share of variable rate mortgages and even those on fixed-loans only fix for...[Read More]

Australia’s productivity challenge – why it matters and what to do about it

14 September

Key points The last twenty years have seen a sharp slowdown in productivity growth in Australia from over 2% pa to around 1.2% pa. This has adversely affected growth in living standards and real wages. It will adversely affect asset class...[Read More]

Seven key charts for investors to keep an eye on in assessing the investment outlook

8 September

Key points While we are optimistic on a 12-month horizon, shares are at high risk of further falls and a re-test of their June lows in the short term given hawkish central banks, heightened recession risks and geopolitical risks. Seven...[Read More]

Econosights: Have we reached peak inflation?

31 August

Key points A peak in inflation (in annual terms) has likely been reached in the US while Australia is lagging behind and is likely to see a peak in December 2022. Extremely high European energy prices means Euro inflation will increase...[Read More]